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CoinSig — 2026-02-14 Crypto Market Report

Predictions2026-02-14
BTC/USDTBULLISHAI Bullish
$69,754 1.61%
L $68,500 — H $70,558
ETH$2,086+2.59%·BTC Dom. 56.66%
+3/ ±5
Bullish
Fear & Greed
9Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$9.1B-35.33%
Bullish signals clustering. Strong short-term upward momentum.
AIThe market is in a consolidation phase, with a signal score of +3/5 indicating cautious optimism, but confidence is only 50% and the trend is ranging, suggesting limited upward momentum.
ARCHIVEDData period 2026-02-14 00:00–24:00 UTC·Generated at 2/14/2026, 6:30:01 PM (local time)
Daily Market Structure Report
The market is in a consolidation phase, with a signal score of +3/5 indicating cautious optimism, but confidence is only 50% and the trend is ranging, suggesting limited upward momentum. The flow regime is mixed, with a taker buy ratio of 51.06% and order flow imbalance (OFI) biased buy, but the cumulative volume delta (CVD) 4-hour is negative, indicating persistent large selling pressure. Price is at $69,754, up 1.61% intraday, yet the Fear & Greed Index remains at 9 (Extreme Fear), creating a contrast with bullish signals. Weekly trends show flat price and signal scores, with the IV index dropping from 52.96 to 51.13, indicating stabilizing sentiment. Key news events include Ethereum on-exchange supply hitting a 10-year low, aligning with institutional accumulation data, which may support ETH's bullish outlook. The core contradiction lies in the disconnect between extreme fear in macro sentiment and bullish derivatives signals. The Fear & Greed Index at 9, in Extreme Fear territory, typically signals a market bottom, but derivatives metrics like funding rate (-0.0031%, at 30-day percentile P12.5) and long/short ratio (1.71) are bullish, suggesting professional traders are positioning contrarily. However, orderbook depth shows slight selling pressure, and large trades are nearly balanced, implying limited institutional inflow and lack of strong upward thrust. This contradiction highlights a hesitant, range-bound market where directional breaks require more catalysts. Volatility and structure analysis shows a normal volatility regime, with an IV-HV spread of 4.03 and IV premium of 8.56% at the 69.2 percentile, indicating moderate expected volatility in options markets. Futures term structure is flat with a slope of 0.0003, reflecting neutral forward pricing. The put/call ratio (PCR) decreased from 0.7831 to 0.7678, showing reduced put demand, and with max pain at $74,000 above current price, it suggests limited upside resistance. Weekly IV trend is flat, averaging 53.7, indicating no structural rise in volatility and stable risk appetite. Key levels and actionable thresholds: Current support is at $69,000 (round number) and $68,500 (24h low); a break below $68,500 with volume exceeding the weekly average of $12.8B could trigger cascading long liquidations, accelerating a move down to the weekly low of $67,107. Resistance is at $68,652 (week high) and $70,000 (round number); a break above $70,000 requires volume over $12.8B and positive CVD to confirm bullish momentum toward the 24h high of $70,558. Max pain at $74,000 is a key psychological level for options but distant, with limited short-term impact. What to watch in the next 24 hours: First, if BTC drops below $68,500 on heavy volume, expect a fast move down as leveraged longs get liquidated. Second, monitor ETH's ability to hold $2,000 support; if on-chain accumulation news pushes it above $2,100, it could boost overall market sentiment. Finally, watch funding rate shifts; if it turns positive from negative, it may signal short covering and drive a short-term bounce. Yesterday's signal accuracy was 5/5, but with low current confidence, caution is advised.
Important News Events
Ether’s hidden strength: Why institutional demand points to $2.4K2/12/2026

While ETH’s price action remains weak, rising institutional investor inflows and surging network activity suggest that Ether is building a base for a possible rally to $2,400.

Ethereum Plans Zero-Knowledge Block Validation Upgrade in 20262/10/2026

Ethereum (ETH) is quietly preparing for one of its most consequential architectural changes yet, one that could redefine how blocks are validated at the protocol level. com.

Bitmine Continues Accumulating Ethereum as Holdings Expand2/10/2026

Ethereum (ETH) just saw one of its largest single-day institutional buys in weeks, and it didn’t come from an exchange-traded fund (ETF) headline or a hype cycle. On-chain data shows Tom Lee’s Bitmine acquired 40,000 ETH worth roughly $83. 4 million within hours, split across two separate purchases

Ethereum on-exchange supply falls to a 10-year low2/9/2026

While the steadily declining prices have stolen virtually all headlines over the past month, Ethereum (ETH) on-exchange supply has also fallen back to levels not seen since mid-2016. Specifically, the total Ethereum supply on cryptocurrency exchanges sat at 16 million ETH on February 9, according to data available on CryptoQuant, while the asset itself was trading at around $2,000, down 34% on the monthly chart. Ethereum price and exchange supply. Source: CryptoQuant The drawdown has unfolded gradually rather than through a sharp drop, pointing to a sustained change in how holders are positioning their assets

$340M in Bitcoin Hits Binance as the Hyperunit Whale De-Risks Hard2/8/2026

A large Bitcoin holder that on-chain analysts often label the “Hyperunit whale” moved about 5,000 BTC to Binance in a short window. That transfer equated to roughly $351 million at the time of reporting, and it likely signaled intent to sell. However, you should separate what we can prove from what people assume

US federal judge sentences Praetorian’s CEO to 20 years over massive $200 million Bitcoin fraud2/13/2026

Ramil Ventura Palafox just got 20 years in federal prison. He ran a fake crypto company called Praetorian and scammed over 90,000 people across the world. A judge in Alexandria, Virginia, sentenced him after he got hit with wire fraud and money laundering charges. Ramil is 61 and holds passports from both the United States […]

Solo Miner Lands $213K Bitcoin Block2/13/2026

A solo Bitcoin (BTC) miner has mined block #936100, earning 3. 153 BTC (worth roughly $213K) in a rare jackpot moment. The block included the standard 3. 125 BTC subsidy plus around 0

Ethereum Whales Are Not Dead: The $400 Million Move That Shows What’s Going On2/12/2026

Ethereum whales have continued to accumulate despite the current downtrend in the ETH price, providing a bullish outlook for the second-largest crypto by market cap. Notably, ETH withdrawals from exchanges recently reached their highest level since October last year, totaling over $400 million. Ethereum Whales Accelerate Withdrawals From Exchanges Crypto analyst Arab Chain noted in a CryptoQuant analysis that rising Ethereum withdrawals from exchanges have reached their highest level since October. The analyst noted that the exchange netflow data over the past few days indicates a clear acceleration in withdrawal activity

Bitcoin Would Need to Reach $1.7M per BTC to Match Gold’s Market Cap2/12/2026

Gold currently holds an estimated market capitalization of around $35 trillion, maintaining its position as the world’s largest store-of-value asset. While Bitcoin is often compared to the precious metal as a digital store of value, TechGaged’s latest research suggests that the cryptocurrency would need to trade near multi-million-dollar levels to approach gold’s scale. According to […] The post Bitcoin Would Need to Reach $1

Ethereum developers propose zero-knowledge privacy for AI chatbots2/12/2026

Ethereum developers have proposed a new system that lets people use AI chatbots privately while still paying for the service.

Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 50%
Bullish 4Neutral 9Bearish 1
CVD Trend: RisingLarge Trades: 50% sell sideIV Premium: 8.56%Taker Buy Ratio: 51.06%OI Change: -0.5%PCR: 0.7678Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceHV Divergence: 4%
Bullish signals clustering. Strong short-term upward momentum.
Bullish
Funding Rate
P12.5×1
L/S Ratio
1.71×1
Liq. Ratio
16% Long liq.×1
Fear & Greed
9×1
Bearish
ATM Book Imbalance
-34.6%×1
AI vs Rules
AI
Bullish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
Bullish
Score: +3/5
AI and Rules agree
Extreme fear sentiment and negative funding rates often signal a rebound, but order book imbalance and ranging trend limit confidence.
Yesterday Review
✓ ✅ Correct+1.61%
2026-02-13·Predicted: Bullish (+3)Uptrend
100%Accuracy
Prediction aligned with market direction
Funding Rate L/S Ratio Liq. Ratio CVD Trend Fear & Greed
AIBullish✅ Correct
Key Price Levels
BTC
Week High
$68,652+-1.6%
Round Number
$70,000+0.4%
24h High
$70,558+1.2%
Current Price
$69,754
Round Number
$69,000-1.1%
24h Low
$68,500-1.8%
Week Low
$67,107-3.8%
ETH
Round Number
$2,100+0.7%
Current Price
$2,086
Volume must exceed $12.8B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Market in extreme fear zone — historically a contrarian opportunity window
Short liquidations exceed 75% — bulls dominating
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 49.6% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureNormalIV-HV: +8.56% · P69.2
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P12.5 · Long Liq %: 16.3%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 9 · FR P12.5
Who Dominates?Bulls DominateBullish 4 : 1 Bearish · L/S 1.71
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Rising · Taker 51%
Volatility Risk?Elevated VolIV 51.13 · HV 47.1 · P69
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?-0.0031%-0.0019%
Rate Percentile12.5%
Basis?-0.0421%+0.0097%
Open Interest?3.19B
OI Change-0.50%
Long/Short Ratio?1.71-0.005
Top Trader Long %54.52%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation2.28M
Short Liquidation11.70M
Long 16%Short 84%
Large Buy7,830 trades / 1.99B
Large Sell7,933 trades / 2.03B
Options
IV Index?51.13%-1.83%
IV Range48.65% - 52.52%
HV 30D?47.1%
IV Premium8.56%
Put/Call Ratio?0.77-0.015
Max Pain?$74,000
PCR (Volume)0.47
Options OI420.74K
Net Delta16.47
IV Skew6.2950
Vol Regimenormal (P69.2)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H49.14%4H49.11%24H49.12%7D54.05%30D47.1%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Rising
CVD Value1,546.65
CVD 4H-25,629.67
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Buy Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?51.1%+1.8%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy54.5K
Large Taker Sell53.2K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth
+1.5%
10 Depth
+1.5%
20 Depth
+1.4%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl8.8
10 Lvl9.6
20 Lvl11.0
Orderbook Spread0.0001%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.000%-0.0002
Max0.005%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield1.8%
US 2Y Yield3.47%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.67%
DXY118.2
VIX20.8
HY Spread2.92%
Net Liquidity5.71T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.04%
S&P 5006,836.17
M2 Supply$22692.2B

Updated at 15/02/2026, 00:10:05 UTC

On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1379.0B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.504,187
Hash Rate (EH/s)1107 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-639.20 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.028 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0298

Updated at 14/02/2026, 08:10:43 UTC

7-Day Trend (2 days)
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Funding Trend
OI Trend
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.