LiveDaily ReportTrack RecordOptions
LiveDaily ReportTrack RecordOptions

CoinSig — 2026-02-22 Crypto Market Report

Predictions2026-02-22
BTC/USDTRANGEAI Neutral
$67,614▼ 0.47%
L $67,150 — H $68,220
ETH$1,957-0.79%·BTC Dom. 56.61%
0/ ±4
Neutral
Fear & Greed
9Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$5.7B▼-4.11%
Heavy long liquidations with extreme fear, but post-liquidation bounces are common.
AIMarket Status: The cryptocurrency market is in a ranging consolidation amid extreme fear sentiment, with prices slightly down but flow regime showing passive drift, and the signal system score at 0/4 indicating temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces.
ARCHIVEDData period 2026-02-22 00:00–24:00 UTC·Generated at 2/23/2026, 12:30:02 AM (local time)
Daily Market Structure Report
Market Status: The cryptocurrency market is in a ranging consolidation amid extreme fear sentiment, with prices slightly down but flow regime showing passive drift, and the signal system score at 0/4 indicating temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces. Core Contradiction: A significant divergence exists between market sentiment and derivatives data—the Fear & Greed Index dropped to 9 (extreme fear), typically signaling oversold bounce potential, yet the funding rate is at the 85.4th percentile (bearish) and 92% of liquidations are long positions, indicating excessive leverage accumulation, creating a structural conflict between extreme pessimism and derivatives overheating. Volatility & Structure: Volatility is in an extreme high regime (IV index 52.0, percentile 82.4%), with an IV-HV spread of 1.72 suggesting moderate option premiums, but the futures term structure is flat and IV trend has been flat over the week, indicating expectations for sustained rather than escalating volatility. Key Levels & Actionable Thresholds: Current price is $67,614; a break below $67,150 (24h low) with volume exceeding $10.1B (weekly average threshold) could trigger cascading liquidations toward $66,423 (week low), while a break above $68,220 (24h high) with rising CVD may confirm bullish momentum. What to Watch: 1. If BTC drops below $67,150 on heavy volume, expect a fast move down as leveraged longs get liquidated. 2. If the Fear & Greed Index rebounds from 9, combined with rising CVD, it could signal a short-term bounce. 3. Monitor ETH-related news (e.g., BlackRock ETF developments), as institutional inflows might improve overall market sentiment.
Important News Events
•
BlackRock’s Next Crypto Move Could Change Ethereum Investing Forever2/21/2026

BlackRock is preparing a major shift in how investors access Ethereum. The firm has filed a new product, the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust ETF, expected to trade under the ticker ETHB. Unlike spot Ethereum ETFs, this fund does more than track price

•
Ethereum’s hard turn signals rising pressure from high-performance rivals2/21/2026

Ethereum is upgrading its base layer with FOCIL, account abstraction, and other architectural changes to improve security and censorship resistance.

•
Ethereum forms Platform team for L1–L2 in 2026 roadmap2/19/2026

Ethereum Platform team, L1-L2 integration, Ethereum 2026 roadmap: EF says a new unit will align L1 and L2, cut latency, improve UX/security with dashboards.

•
Gwangju prosecutors office make unlikely recovery of unusual 320 BTC theft2/19/2026

The Gwangju District Prosecutor’s Office confirmed today that 320. 88 BTC, currently worth about $21. 5 million, was transferred back into the government’s custody wallet since February 17. They also mentioned that the funds were then moved to a secure wallet in a domestic exchange. The announcement by South Korean prosecutors is the latest chapter of a […]

•
CME Group Expands Into 24/7 Crypto Trading in Major Shift2/19/2026

CME Group will launch 24/7 cryptocurrency futures and options trading beginning May 29, marking a structural shift in how regulated crypto derivatives operate in the United States. The move will allow clients to trade Bitcoin and Ether futures contracts continuously, aligning regulated markets more closely with crypto’s always-on nature. com

•
Ethereum Prepares Massive 2026 Network Overhaul – What’s Coming?2/19/2026

The Ethereum Foundation has released its 2026 protocol priorities, outlining a major push to scale the network as it improves usability and security. The roadmap introduces three core tracks: scaling performance, improving user experience, and hardening the base layer. The update signals continued momentum behind faster transactions and a more resilient Ethereum

•
BlackRock Begins Seeding ETH Staking ETF2/17/2026

The TradFi asset management giant is currently aping ETH to seed its latest investment product.

•
Tech rout drags US stocks lower to kick off week, Bitcoin steadies around $67K2/17/2026

The S&P 500 is down 0. 5%, the Nasdaq Composite is off 0. 7%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has dropped 188 points, or 0. 4%, as Wall Street opens the week in the red after another losing stretch. Bitcoin is holding steady around $67,213, hovering near $67K even as equities struggle.

•
Ethereum ICO Wallet Awakens After 10 Years – What Happened?2/16/2026

An Ethereum (ETH) ICO-era wallet just woke up after roughly 10. 6 years of inactivity and attempted to send 1 ETH to Gemini, according to on-chain trackers. The transaction failed due to low gas, but estimates suggest the wallet still holds about 1,430 ETH originally acquired for about $443

Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 50%
Bullish 2Neutral 12Bearish 2
L/S Ratio: 1.9283Large Trades: 51% sell sideIV Premium: 3.42%Taker Buy Ratio: 50.01%OI Change: -1.58%PCR: 0.7528Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 0.0%HV Divergence: 4%etf_flow: 140.5mvrv: 1.24
Heavy long liquidations with extreme fear, but post-liquidation bounces are common.
▲ Bullish
CVD Trend
Rising×1
Fear & Greed
9×1
▼ Bearish
Funding Rate
P85.4×1
Liq. Ratio
92% Long liq.×1
AI vs Rules
AI
— Neutral
Confidence: low
Rules Prediction
— Neutral
Score: 0/4
AI and Rules agree
Mixed signals with high funding rate and liquidation ratio indicating bearishness, but rising CVD and extreme fear suggesting bullish potential, leading to unclear direction.
Yesterday Review
⚠ Insufficient signals-0.47%
2026-02-21·Predicted: Neutral (0)RangingLow confidence — insufficient active signals
Low confidence — no directional call was made
Last 7 Days0W 1L (6 skipped)
02-14
02-15
02-16
02-17
02-18
02-19
02-20
AINeutral→❌ Missed
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number
$68,000+0.6%
24h High
$68,220+0.9%
Week High
$69,068+2.2%
Current Price
$67,614—
24h Low
$67,150-0.7%
Week Low
$66,423-1.8%
Options Max Pain
$55,000-18.7%
ETH
Round Number
$2,000+2.2%
Current Price
$1,957—
Round Number
$1,900-2.9%
Volume must exceed $10.1B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Market in extreme fear zone — historically a contrarian opportunity window
Long liquidations exceed 75% — bears dominating
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimePassive DriftLarge Buy %: 49.3% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureExtreme HighIV-HV: +3.42% · P82.4
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P85.4 · Long Liq %: 92.2%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 9 · FR P85.4
Who Dominates?ContestedBullish 2 : 2 Bearish · L/S 1.93
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Rising · Taker 50%
Volatility Risk?High Vol RiskIV 52 · HV 50.28 · P82
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.007%▲+0.0063%
Rate Percentile85.4%
Basis?-0.0472%▲+0.0036%
Open Interest?3.04B
OI Change-1.58%
Long/Short Ratio?1.93▲+0.165
Top Trader Long %58.28%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation2.75M
Short Liquidation233.34K
Long 92%Short 8%
Large Buy5,075 trades / 1.40B
Large Sell4,934 trades / 1.44B
Options
IV Index?52%▲+0.76%
IV Range51.47% - 52.37%
HV 30D?50.28%
IV Premium3.42%
Put/Call Ratio?0.75▲+0.002
Max Pain?$55,000
PCR (Volume)0.81
Options OI432.45K
Net Delta43.1
IV Skew10.0440
Vol Regimeextreme_high (P82.4)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H52.08%4H52.09%24H52.08%7D52.25%30D50.28%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Rising
CVD Value2,956.98
CVD 4H8,098.76
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Balanced
Taker Buy Ratio?50.0%▲+0.4%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy35.6K
Large Taker Sell35.3K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth
+2.1%
10 Depth
+2.2%
20 Depth
+2.6%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl13.3
10 Lvl14.8
20 Lvl17.0
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.000%▼-0.0001
Max0.002%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield1.79%
US 2Y Yield3.47%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.68%
DXY117.5
VIX20.2
HY Spread2.88%
Net Liquidity5.7T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.00%
S&P 5006,909.51
M2 Supply$22692.2B

Updated at 22/02/2026, 22:10:44 UTC

On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1354.7B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.447,339
Hash Rate (EH/s)854 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-4.78 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.033 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0289
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$81.8B
IBIT AUM$51.2B
Est. Daily Flow+$140.5M
BTC MVRV1.2428
BTC Realized Price$54,689
BTC NUPL0.1953
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins258.0B
USDT183.6B
USDC74.4B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-46.4%
30D Change-24.46%
200D Change-41.28%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI54.6B
ETH Global OI31.3B
Google Trends66/100

Updated at 23/02/2026, 00:10:53 UTC

7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend→
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▼
OI Trend→
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.