CoinSig — 2026-06-29 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-06-29
BTC/USDTRANGEAI Bearish
$60,225▲ 1.13%
L $58,850 — H $60,758
ETH$1,612+2.61%·BTC Dom. 55.64%
-2/ ±4▼-1
Slightly Bearish
Fear & Greed
12Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$13.6B▲+120.26%
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
AIBTC edges up to $60,225 but remains in a weekly downtrend (-5.9%).
Daily Market Structure Report
BTC edges up to $60,225 but remains in a weekly downtrend (-5.9%). Flow regime is mixed with taker buy ratio at 49.27% and CVD turning falling, indicating persistent selling pressure. Extreme Fear at 12, sentiment weak. ETF inflow of $104M provides some support.\n\nThe core contradiction: signal score is -2 (bearish) yet price rose. Yesterday's prediction missed (bearish but actual +1.13%). Long/short ratio at 2.0386 (retail crowded long) diverges from falling CVD, suggesting the bounce may lack follow-through.\n\nVolatility is normal, IV dropped from 46.54 to 45.23, IV-HV spread 2.25, option premium 5.23%. PCR (OI) at 0.5826 is bullish, but volume PCR at 0.914 shows near-term hedging. Term structure flat, no premium.\n\nKey levels: support $60,000 (round) and $59,550 (week low), resistance $60,758 (24h high) and $61,000. A breakout above $61,000 with volume >$12B would confirm momentum; a break below $60,000 could trigger long liquidations.\n\nWatch: 1) If BTC drops below $60,000 with CVD accelerating down, expect a test of $58,850. 2) Continued ETF inflows and positive funding would support the bounce. 3) Signal score -2 but yesterday's miss warrants caution.
Signal Summary
RangingConfidence: 40%
Funding Rate: P56.2Liq. Ratio: 44% Long liq.Large Trades: 50% sell sideIV Premium: 5.23%Fear & Greed: 12Taker Buy Ratio: 49.27%OI Change: -1.16%CVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: -0.3%HV Divergence: -1%etf_flow: 104.2mvrv: 1.12
Mixed signals across dimensions. Market direction unclear, consider staying on the sidelines.
▲ Bullish
PCR
0.5826×0.81▼ Bearish
L/S Ratio
2.0386×1.08CVD Trend
Falling×0.98Price Momentum
Down×1.07AI vs Rules
AI
▼ Bearish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
▼ Bearish
Score: -2/4
AI and Rules agree
Extreme fear sentiment, high retail long/short ratio indicating crowded longs, neutral funding rate without extremes, falling CVD and downward price momentum point to short-term bearishness.
Yesterday Review
✗ ❌ Missed+1.13%
14%Accuracy
Multiple signal misses — possible market regime shift
✗ L/S Ratio✗ Liq. Ratio✗ Large Trades✓ PCR✗ Price Momentum✗ etf_flow
Last 7 Days4W 2L (1 skipped)
Win Rate67%
Loss Streak2
Avg Accuracy47%
06-21
06-22
06-23
06-24
06-25
06-26
06-27
AIBearish→❌ Missed
Key Price Levels
BTC
24h High$60,758+0.9%
Round Number$61,000+1.3%
Week High$63,990+6.3%
Current Price$60,225—
Round Number$60,000-0.4%
Week Low$59,550-1.1%
24h Low$58,850-2.3%
ETH
Current Price$1,612—
Round Number$1,600-0.8%
Volume must exceed $12.0B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Market in extreme fear zone — historically a contrarian opportunity window
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 50.1% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureNormalIV-HV: +5.23% · P59.3
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P56.2 · Long Liq %: 44.2%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 12 · FR P56.2
Who Dominates?ContestedBullish 1 : 3 Bearish · L/S 2.04
Capital Flowing In or Out?Inflow w/ DivergenceCVD Falling · Taker 49%
Volatility Risk?Normal VolIV 45.23 · HV 42.98 · P59
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.0062%▲+0.0030%
Rate Percentile56.2%
Basis?-0.0569%▼-0.0079%
Open Interest?3.45B
OI Change-1.16%
Long/Short Ratio?2.04▼-0.278
Top Trader Long %56.25%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation5.21M
Short Liquidation6.58M
Long 44%Short 56%
Large Buy14,026 trades / 3.32B
Large Sell14,183 trades / 3.30B
Options
IV Index?45.23%▼-1.31%
IV Range42.61% - 48.26%
HV 30D?42.98%
IV Premium5.23%
Put/Call Ratio?0.58▲+0.004
Max Pain?$64,000
PCR (Volume)0.91
Options OI343.97K
Net Delta4.02
IV Skew12.7597
Vol Regimenormal (P59.3)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H42.66%4H42.66%24H42.66%7D44.89%30D42.98%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling (Rising →)
CVD Value-1,642.53
CVD 4H-7,406.39
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Sell Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?49.3%▼-0.4%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy99.4K
Large Taker Sell99.0K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+1.4%
10 Depth+1.7%
20 Depth+1.8%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl10.7
10 Lvl12.1
20 Lvl15.1
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%▲+0.0001
Max0.006%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.18%
US 2Y Yield4.07%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.89%
DXY120.9
VIX18.4
HY Spread2.83%
Net Liquidity5.81T
Net Liquidity Chg+0.05%
S&P 5007,354.02
M2 Supply$23062.9B
Updated at 29/06/2026, 22:10:05 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1210.5B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.416,739
Hash Rate (EH/s)858 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)+2218.63 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.066 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0268
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow+$104.2M
BTC MVRV1.1189
BTC Realized Price$53,173
BTC NUPL0.1063
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins258.5B
USDT184.7B
USDC73.8B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-52.3%
30D Change-18.49%
200D Change-34.82%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI53.3B
ETH Global OI32.2B
Google Trends52/100
Updated at 30/06/2026, 00:10:40 UTC
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend▼
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend▲
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend▲
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.