CoinSig — 2026-07-31 Crypto Market Report
Predictions2026-07-31
BTC/USDTRANGEAI Bearish
$62,860▼ 2.92%
L $62,411 — H $65,391
ETH$1,862-2.90%·BTC Dom. 56.21%
0/ ±7▼-3
Neutral
Fear & Greed
25Extreme Fear
24h Volume
$11.1B▲+52.67%
Active buying increasing while L/S ratio leans short — retail shorting while smart money accumulates. · Contrarian signals downweighted in downtrend.
AIToday's market is under downward pressure, with BTC down 2.92% to $62,860, breaking below the week low of $63,721, and sentiment in extreme fear (25).
Daily Market Structure Report
Today's market is under downward pressure, with BTC down 2.92% to $62,860, breaking below the week low of $63,721, and sentiment in extreme fear (25). Flow regime is mixed, but CVD continues to fall, taker buy ratio rose to 52.3%, and ETF inflows of $845.8M provide support. Weekly trend is flat, but signal score dropped to 0, indicating unclear direction.
Signal Summary
DowntrendConfidence: 60%
Large Trades: 51% sell sideFear & Greed: 25OI Change: 0%Price Momentum: FlatCVD Divergence: No divergenceATM Book Imbalance: 0.3%HV Divergence: -5%mvrv: 1.23
Active buying increasing while L/S ratio leans short — retail shorting while smart money accumulates. · Contrarian signals downweighted in downtrend.
▲ Bullish
Funding Rate
P14.6×0.4↓IV Premium
-5.43%×0.3↓Taker Buy Ratio
52.30%×1PCR
0.5393×0.89etf_flow
845.8×0.99▼ Bearish
L/S Ratio
2.2082×1.14Liq. Ratio
74% Long liq.×0.91CVD Trend
Falling×1.04AI vs Rules
AI
▼ Bearish
Confidence: medium
Rules Prediction
— Neutral
Score: 0/7
AI and Rules disagree
Market is in extreme fear, price is falling, funding rate is positive but long liquidations dominate, CVD is declining, and retail longs are crowded, suggesting continued downward pressure in the short term.
Yesterday Review
✗ ❌ Missed-2.92%
29%Accuracy
Multiple signal misses — possible market regime shift
✓ Funding Rate✗ Liq. Ratio✗ Large Trades✗ OI Change✗ PCR✓ ATM Book Imbalance✗ etf_flow
Last 7 Days3W 2L (2 skipped)
Win Rate60%
Avg Accuracy50%
07-23
07-24
07-25
07-26
07-27
07-28
07-29
AIBullish→❌ Missed
Key Price Levels
BTC
Round Number$63,000+0.2%
Options Max Pain$65,000+3.4%
24h High$65,391+4.0%
Current Price$62,860—
Week Low$63,7211.4%
24h Low$62,410-0.7%
ETH
Round Number$1,900+2.1%
Current Price$1,862—
Round Number$1,800-3.3%
Volume must exceed $7.7B (weekly avg) to confirm directional breakout
Key Insights
Signal score plunged sharply — sentiment deteriorating fast
Bull/bear signals in sharp conflict — market at directional inflection point
Market Structure Regimes
Flow RegimeMixedLarge Buy %: 48.6% · Divergence: —
Volatility StructureCompressionIV-HV: -5.43% · P3.3
Positioning RiskBalancedFR P14.6 · Long Liq %: 74%
Market Status
Market Sentiment?Extreme FearF&G 25 · FR P14.6
Who Dominates?ContestedBullish 5 : 3 Bearish · L/S 2.21
Capital Flowing In or Out?Net OutflowCVD Falling · Taker 52%
Volatility Risk?Low VolIV 35.51 · HV 37.55 · P3
Detailed Metrics
Derivatives
Contract Metrics
Funding Rate?0.0041%▼-0.0059%
Rate Percentile14.6%
Basis?-0.0449%▲+0.0065%
Open Interest?3.65B
OI Change+0.00%
Long/Short Ratio?2.21▲+0.956
Top Trader Long %61.68%
Liquidations & Large Trades
Long Liquidation13.49M
Short Liquidation4.74M
Long 74%Short 26%
Large Buy12,844 trades / 3.35B
Large Sell13,530 trades / 3.55B
Options
IV Index?35.51%▼-0.60%
IV Range34.74% - 36.32%
HV 30D?37.55%
IV Premium-5.43%
Put/Call Ratio?0.54▲+0.105
Max Pain?$65,000
PCR (Volume)1.13
Options OI324.50K
Net Delta-59.73
IV Skew10.6433
Vol Regimecompression (P3.3)
Term StructureFLAT
Multi-TF HV
1H35.64%4H35.64%24H35.64%7D36.91%30D37.55%
IV Term Structure
Microstructure
CVD & OFI
CVD Trend?Falling
CVD Value-2,186.56
CVD 4H-1,643.06
Price-CVD DivergenceNo
Order Flow Imbalance?Buy Dominant
Taker Buy Ratio?52.3%▲+3.8%
Large Taker Buy / Large Taker Sell
Large Taker Buy79.1K
Large Taker Sell79.1K
Orderbook Imbalance?
5 Depth+2.1%
10 Depth+2.1%
20 Depth+2.1%
Orderbook Depth
5 Lvl23.1
10 Lvl25.2
20 Lvl29.6
Orderbook Spread0.0002%
Cross-Exchange Spread
Avg0.001%
Max0.004%
Volume LeaderBybit
Macro & On-chain
Macro Environment
US 10Y Yield2.41%
US 2Y Yield4.23%
Yield Curve (2s10s)-1.82%
DXY120.7
VIX17.1
HY Spread2.84%
Net Liquidity5.83T
Net Liquidity Chg-0.02%
S&P 5007,437.63
M2 Supply$23290.1B
Updated at 31/07/2026, 22:10:09 UTC
On-chain Data
BTC Market Cap$1264.7B
BTC Supply20M
BTC Active Addr.497,475
Hash Rate (EH/s)960 EH/s
Exchange Netflow (BTC)-6342.45 BTC
ETH Gas (Gwei)0.050 Gwei
ETH Staked3M
ETH/BTC0.0296
BTC ETF
ETF Total AUM$75.9B
IBIT AUM$48.6B
Est. Daily Flow+$845.8M
BTC MVRV1.2263
BTC Realized Price$52,778
BTC NUPL0.1845
Stablecoin Supply
Total Stablecoins255.6B
USDT183.7B
USDC71.9B
BTC Momentum
From ATH-50.1%
30D Change+4.86%
200D Change-31.05%
Global Open Interest
BTC Global OI58.9B
ETH Global OI37.2B
Google Trends57/100
Updated at 01/08/2026, 00:10:33 UTC⚠ Some data delayed
7-Day Trend (7 days)
Price Trend→
Signal Trend▲
IV Trend→
Funding Trend▲
OI Trend▼
Price Trend
Signal Trend
IV Trend
Fear & Greed
For informational purposes only. Not financial advice.